Summary of ‘Europe already has on foot in ‘Japanese’
deflation grave’
Before:
Ambrose
Evans-Pritchard, in The Telegraph of October 23, 2013 discusses deflation and
its disastrous effects on debt-ridden European countries.
Evans-Pritchard
states that deflation currently appears to be insignificant in “low-debt”
countries, such as Spain and Italy. However, as the debt ratio proceeds to rise
over 300pc of GDB and inflation recently dropped to 0.9pc within the eurozone,
causing a gradual fall in prices, these countries will soon be fully affected
by deflation and, consequently, face a debt crisis.
According to the
article, this deflationary tendency pushes countries into a “runaway debt
trajectory” that is impossible to acquit. These countries are faced with two options
to prevent this predicament: Either implementing an austerity policy or
increasing the inflation rate to ensure economic growth. Both solutions,
however, seem to be doomed to fail as politicians do not make efforts to cut
spending, and Germany refuses to cooperate to drift up inflation, simply
because the country benefits from declining inflation.
The author believes
that the best solution is for Italy, Spain, France and Club Med to join forces and
persuade Germany to keep inflation high enough to avert deflation, as it will
inevitably result in a “Japanese deflation grave” for all European countries.
After:
Ambrose
Evans-Pritchard, in The Telegraph of October 23, 2013 discusses deflation and
its disastrous effects on debt-ridden European countries.
Evans-Pritchard
states that deflation currently appears to be insignificant in “low-debt”
countries, such as Spain and Italy. However, as the debt ratio proceeds to rise
over 300pc of GDP and inflation recently dropped to 0.9pc within the eurozone,
causing a gradual fall in prices, these countries will soon be fully affected
by deflation and, consequently, face a debt crisis.
According to the
article, this deflationary tendency pushes countries into a “runaway debt
trajectory” that is impossible to escape. These countries are faced with two options
to prevent this predicament: Either implementing an austerity policy or
increasing the inflation rate to ensure economic growth. Both solutions,
however, seem to be doomed to fail as politicians do not make efforts to cut
spending, and Germany refuses to cooperate to drift up inflation, simply
because the country benefits from declining inflation.
The author believes
that the best solution is for Club Med to join forces and
persuade Germany to keep inflation high enough to avert deflation, as it will
inevitably result in a “Japanese deflation grave” for all European countries.
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